Can anyone catch Wyndham Clark? U.S. Open live odds, best bets Round 3
Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Matt Fitzpatrick are in the hunt at the 2026 U.S. Open chasing Wyndham Clark.
Mark GiannottoThis is now Wyndham Clark's U.S. Open to lose, according to the analytics and the odds. So the question now is whether there's anyone on the star-packed 2026 leaderboard that will catch him during the weekend?
Clark recorded the lowest round during a U.S. Open held at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club on Thursday and then wound up with the best 36-hole score (-7) for a U.S. Open at the well-known Southampton, New York, course. He entered Saturday's third round with a four-stroke lead one year after missing the U.S. Open cut at Oakmont and damaging two lockers on his way out of town.
But Clark's path to a second U.S. Open title still isn't clear yet. Not with so many past major winners chasing him, the variables presented by the treacherous conditions at Shinnecock Hills and the pressure of closing out a golf major.
The live statistics model used at Datagolf.com and BetMGM betting odds agree Clark is a significant favorite now. There are, however, some differences in how each rates the chances that several past major winners have to chase down Clark on the leaderboard.
Here's a live look at the latest odds during Round 3 of the 2026 U.S. Open, as well as up-to-date analysis on the golfers other than Clark with the best chance to win based on Datagolf.com's live statistical model:
2026 US Open live odds
Current odds to win the 2026 U.S. Open before the leaders tee off for Round 3 action on Saturday at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, courtesy of BetMGM.
Favorites
- Wyndham Clark (+165)
- Xander Schauffele (+550)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+600)
- Collin Morikawa (+1100)
- Sam Burns (+1600)
- Rory McIlroy (+1800)
- Maverick McNealy (+1800)
Dark horses
- Tom Kim (+2000)
- Scottie Scheffler (+3000)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+3000)
Best value
- Sam Stevens (+3300)
- Sahith Theegala (+3300)
- Emiliano Grillo (+8000)
- Corey Conners (+8000)
US Open odds: Who has best chance to catch Wyndham Clark?
The live analytics model used by Datagolf.com currently gives Wyndham Clark a 36.4% chance to win the 2026 U.S. Open entering the third round on Saturday, June 20. It gives Xander Schauffele and Matt Fitzpatrick the best chances to win other than Clark going into the third round.
DataGolf’s model uses long-term strokes gained as a baseline, then adjusts it for a golfer's current form, course fit, and field strength to simulate thousands of tournament outcomes. Those simulations lead to win probabilities and betting odds that estimate how often each player would win a particular tournament. Here are the top contenders, according to this metric:
- 1. Xander Schauffele (-3): 13.6% chance to win
- 2. Matt Fitzpatrick (-3): 11.1% chance to win
- 3. Collin Morikawa (-2): 5.8% chance to win
- 4. Rory McIlroy (-1): 5.1% chance to win
- 5. Tom Kim (-3): 4.9% chance to win
- 6. Sam Burns (-1): 4.8% chance to win
- 7. Sam Stevens (-3): 3.4% chance to win
- 8. Maverick McNealy (-1): 2.6% chance to win
- 9. Sahith Theegala (-1): 2.4% chance to win
- 10. Tommy Fleetwood (E): 2.3% chance to win
- 10. Scottie Scheffler (+2): 2.2% chance to win
2026 US Open live leaderboard
- 1. Wyndham Clark: -7
- 2. Sam Stevens: -4 (1)
- T3. Xander Schauffele: -3 (1)
- T3. Matt Fitzpatrick: -3
- T5. Rory McIlroy: -2 (7)
- T5. Collin Morikawa: -2 (2)
- T5. Tom Kim: -2 (2)
- T8. Maverick McNealy: -1 (7)
- T8. Ryo Hisatsune: -1 (5)
- T8. Sahith Theegala: -1 (3)
- T8. Sam Burns: -1 (3)
- ▶ You can get the latest leaderboard updates here.
Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose. While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling. We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site. Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.
Prediction Markets: Certain prediction markets are event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or other applicable regulatory authorities and are legally distinct from traditional gambling and sports betting. Eligibility requirements to participate in prediction markets differ from those for sports betting and gambling — you may be required to be 18 or older (or such other age as the applicable platform requires) and to satisfy other eligibility criteria established by the relevant platform and governing law. Prediction market trading involves financial risk and may not be available in all jurisdictions. The legal and regulatory status of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction and by platform. It is your sole responsibility to confirm that participation is lawful where you reside and to comply with all applicable laws and platform terms.